Tuesday 2 April 2013

Studying the Form, now THAT'S a Gamble....

So it all looked SOOO perfect, all was going both to plan and like cloclwork, Shoda was 20/1 in a place this morning, gradually shortened during the day, got SMASHED (as predicted) on course, and went off the 11/2 joint 2nd fav a MAJOR punt was on the cards, as yours truly was in for a good ol' chunk e/w...happy days indeed.  Even the RacingUK presenters were start to lord it about the Barney Curley connection (that NODODY seemed to mention when he was 14's) and generally wax lyrical about the nags chances, and has basically called him first past the post before even a single hoof was planted in anger......

And then they were off!!!....Maloney (for once!) had the lad nicely settled in midfield, creeping into contention on the rail on the good ground, when at the 4th, yes, only the bloody FORTH, he dropped to the rear, then proceeded to tail off, in such a manner that he looked guarenteed to be pulled up, but just reading the result back, for some god forsaken reason he finished, beaten just the odd HUNDRED LENGTHS!!!!...Which technically rates him around 33 (159 behind Spriner Sacre) on this performance as the winner was rated 103, if you go by the "1 length = 3 pounds" theory.

I can only assume Mr P Maloney wanted to have a trot rather thaan a walk back to the stable, and have a "0" and not a dreaded "P" next to the nags name.  Now, let's get one thing straight, I know not whether this indeed was a true gamble, or just a case of mug money following mug money following mug money, but ALL the aforementioned facts/detailed can be found in yesterdays blog post (Shouda, Wouda, Couda) and I stand by ALL of them wholeheartedly, BUT knowing the the connections, albeit loosely to this nag via Mr Curley I would not take this performance on face value one little bit, but i'd love love LOVE and "off the record" chat with Maloney to see the whites of his eyes......


So that would appear to be that, tipped up, gambled on horse from a gambling stable, has the money down and flops, that's it right....?.......WRONG!!!!!!


Shouda is all entered up at Wetherby tomorrow where he is short as 8/1 fifth choice out of the 10 runners, just how is this even possible?!?!?!?!

And ask yourself this, if your horse ahs just been STUFFED OUT OF SIGHT, why would you run him the next day, at a course nearly THREE HUNDRED MILES AWAY to the north?!?!?!?...I should mention, the trainers stable is less than half that distance away, and on the same bloody route!!!!...SURLY you should just take the dobbin home today, tuck him up in his stable, and not let him out again, EVER!!!!....UNLESS, there is a *couch-cough* "touch" going on and today was indeed the reddest of herrings......

Today has indeed left a bitter, bitter taste in my mouth, be if Shouda wins tomorrow it'll be like drinking a cocktail of baby vomit and tarmac blended with camel balls in a nice salty shake......I simply CANNOT, as a form reader back him tomorrow, but I wouldn't put you off, he could win by half the track, or, as quite brilliantly demonstrated today, lose by pretty much the same...


Quick footnote, my fave horse in all weather training "Elusive Hawk" won for me AGAIN (6/4 > 8/13) today, and think he deserves a bit of a break, and would look out for him in a lil' turf handicap in May/June..

I started today think Shouda should be rated over 100, so 87 looked tasty, and end the day thinking 50 looks generous, just wait until 250pm tomorrow, (he should be tailed off by then) and i'm sure i'll have another opinion all neatly boxed up and ready, so once again The Hawk proved anything but Elusive, and as for the other nag, well, he Shouda stayed at home......



Be Lucky!!!


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