Nothing Scripted About This Post.....

Jamie, Jamie, Jamie.....

Today, for once, for racing, for ME (and the GAZILLIONS of frustrated punters up and down the country) can you PUR-LEASE have your "riding head" on in time for the 4:30pm at Wolves, 'cos........


I GOT A HOOOOOORSE!!!!!!!!!


At first glance the race looks ultra competitive/VERY confusing, but once you begin to peel the onion, things start to clear like a nice pint of ale.  You can, as with a lot of this low grade stuff, discount the bottom half in the betting, so let concentrate on the top 4:


MIA'S BOY:

Indeed is top rated, but this is more for honour in defeat rather than actual victories, his last win came in October '11 when he SCRAPED home over 7f off a mark of 97, and you have to go back 3 YEARS to fin a CD success when he was technically racing off only 67, over TWO STONES lower, seriously not for me.

ELUSIVE HAWK:

Just MADNESS my fave AW horse in training is even entered, AWESOME in his grade over 6f/7f at a push, but only CD try resulted in a sulky almost last, he doesn't stay, and DEFO NOT in this class of race, that's all you need to know.

KINGSCROFT:

NEVER won beyond  7f, and never threatened to do so, ran over CD last time out, going off at 7/2, was obviously fancied, but race comments like the following, DO NOT inspire confidence:

"tracked leader, ridden over 1f out, no extra inside final furlong"

He will NOT "come on for the run" nor "improve for the run" 'cos he is out of the fittest of ALL stables, Mr M Johnson, so will be as fit as a butchers dog each and every race, he was top rated 89 in that contest, and got soundly beaten by nags rated 80 and 84, he, again, DOESN'T stay, pure and simple.

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Which brings us nicely onto my idea of the 6/4 market leader (his price on my tissue, but he's a quite frankly CRAAAAZY 11/2 in a place....SO GET ON!!!) and BY FAR the most interesting runner and likely winner.....

POSTSCRIPT:

A DUEL CD winner, off for 206 days, who has alternated between slaughtering opponents in ultra competitive Sandown/Haydock handicaps with lacklustre runs in valuable, HUGE field £100k and £47k races, if this pattern continues, he'll hose in today.  As I have already mentioned, the race is choc-a-bloc FULL of non-stayers, and the bottom 3/4 rags will ensure a fast, even pace, I can see our lad, who simply LOVES to dominate small fields late on over this CD, at the furlong pole, tucked in behind Kingscroft, Mia's Boy, and an already weakening Elusive Hawk under a MOTIONLESS J Spencer, just READY to push the button.  I must admit, i'm NOT Spence's biggest fan, i'd go as far as to say I often don't back a selection PURLY 'cos he is on-board, those of you with longer memories will remember the ABSOLUTE HORROR rides he used to give to that SUPER MARE Soviet Song, my favorite being in the 2006 Falmouth, when she was sent off a RED HOT 6/5 fav:

"held up in rear, effort over 1f out, never on terms"

In the process, managing to make her a beaten fav in 3 of his 4 chances on-board with his "don't worry, i'll make up the ground" frustrating style....but TODAY, that's exactly what i'm after, Spencer having our lad, out of trouble, and nice 'n' settled, tucked in out the back, ready to pick up the inevitable pieces of the non-stayers at the furlong pole, and pulling away up the straight to win "a shade cheekily"....


In conclusion, unless one of the rags turns out to be a tarter, The Hawk grows another couple of legs/sets of lungs, Kingscroft finds 2f worth of stamina in the last fortnight or Mia's Boy decides today IS FINALLY the day he "wants" to win, this contest looks an open and shut case of EPIC proportions, my lad TRULY stays, the rest don't, and the fact he hasn't run for 200+ days means we're getting a nice price.

Who would you back over 1000 metres?  A race fit Usain Bolt, or Mo Farah returning from a well earned holiday....?

Me Too, Cue the Mobot.......



Be Lucky!!!



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