Friday 19 April 2013

Monsieur CAN-dou.....

So...

Tomorrows meeting at Ayr has a touch of the "after the Lord Mayor's Show"  about it, now we have both Cheltenham and Aintree safely tucked under our belts, and the emerald glow and lure of the BIG pots in Punchestown only days away.......All this being said, there is a CRACKERJACK of a Scottish National on the cards with SOOOOO much "mug money" spread far and wide on horses over the top and not recovered from Cheltenham/Aintree.

For me, Auroras Encore has FAR too much weight, Big Occasion has had his day and like a lot of improving Pipe horses in now on the downgrade, it's a touch strange T Scudamore can do 10-10 but has chosen to ride the stables 20/1 outsider Problema Tic rather than the 8/1 2nd fav.......anyway, moving on, Our Mick, Godsmejudge and River D'Estruval most likely left there best races at Cheltenham, Neptune Equester is from the gambling stable of a certain B Ellison, so is most likely not value at 16/1, and Bradley simply isn't good enough along with Nuts n Bolts, which leads me with my 3 against the field:


MONSIEUR CADOU Generally 14/1 (Paddy Power E/W 1-2-3-4-5) ***NAP***

Whilst many of the protagonists have neen wetting there noses at major festivals, our lad has been quietly stepped up to 3m4f for a series of 4 prep races by master distance trainer T George, with P Brennan perfecting his softly-softly catchy-monkey tactics.  First up he was sent off 9/4 jolly  at Stratford in November, anchored at the back and was making stylish headway when coming to grief at the 14th, next up later that month at Haydock he made no such mistake, making what is now becoming his trademark "push" from the 16th fence, he dazzled the field and landed the spoils.  He then had a nice break over christmas, avoiding the often untraceable ground to turn up once again, over 3m4f at Lingfield where he caught a couple of "tarters" in Emperors Choice and a then BANG in form Big Occasion, but still made his move at the 16th and finished a creditable 3rd.   Any thoughts or doubts about him not holding his form and/or his capability to run off a short break were well and truly dismissed back at Haydock in March, where once again he made his move at the 16th and pulled away for a very professional victory.  He has never been over this far, in fact 4m+ is a full 4f+ further than he's ever been before, BUT, the way PJ rides him, will ensure he has the best possible chance of getting the trip, and could EASILY come swinging along on the bridle 3f out and go past weight laden, and over the top horses, remember this lad is indeed only rated 126, but subsequently is only carrying 10-4...a full 22lbs off top weight, and as form students know, you can give a stone to a horse in a mile race, but the longer you go, the MORE the weight tells, and our lad has a weight of the feather variety.....expect him anchored at the back, minding his own business, and coming through late on, for me, he's a 8/1 shot, so value it MUST be at 14's....and you're doubling you're stake if the nag is placed.....LUMP ON!!!!


ALWAYS RIGHT Generally 11/1

Thought good enough to only go off 25/1 in last years Aintree showpiece, and was going well until blundering and unseating at The Chair, the 11 y/o advertised his well being with a gutsy win over an inadequate trip last time, and canny J Wade (who also oens the nag) doesn't suffer fools lightly and keep horses in training for the sake of it, an ew punt also advised.


RIGADIN DE BEAUCHEUNE Generally 20/1

Almost the forgotten horse of the race, the fact he wasn't right and pulled up over an inadequate trip latest only improves his price, sandwiched between two narrow defeats to the G Moore MEGA  improver was the most gutsy of victories over 3m5f (one of the few in the field with proven stamina) in the Betfair Chase, where he battled back offering that a step up in trip would offer no dangers, once again ew punt is the call.



Of course, pop all 3 in a cfc/ctc as we SOOOO nearly pulled off in the Lincoln.



So, that's it, with the afternoon looking sunny, and my armchair looking comfy, roll on 350pm tomorrow so I can Dou-Dou-Dou the conga when Monsieur breezes in!!!!!



Be Lucky!!!!


£££PlacePotter£££





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