Monday 15 April 2013

Frankel-Stein..........

So.....


Just HOW MUCH is so called "perfection" actual worth?....£1,000,000...£2,000,000...£5,000,000......?!?!?!...I have the feeling in a year or two we will find out...


The MIGHTY, majestic, unbeaten wonder horse Frankel, is due to be, "entwined" with a certain Black Caviar, only after she has popped over via a 13,000 mile plane trip in that achingly cool compression suit, won the Kings Stand, THEN the Golden Jubilee at Royal Ascot, in the process notching up her 26th and 27th consecutive victory.  The CRAZY talk last year of a possible "Match Race" between them was as ludicrous as it was unlikely, Frankel, at the age of 4 was FULLY effective from 1m-1m4f, whilst Caviar was a TRUE 6f horse, so a mythical "match" over the only distance they could have raced over, 7f, would have resulted in Frankel cruising up to Caviars quarters at the furlong poll and putting Caviar to bed like a mother does to her new born, but, alas, we'll never know, but I, for one, am glad, because now, if all goes to plan, the sibling of this partnership coming together will have a Mum and Dad, who would both have retired undefeated, with 42 combined victories, including too many Grade/Group 1's to mention, and over £6,000,000 in prize money.


But what will this newbie be worth?...What the buyer is willing to pay, who will the buyers be?


Ballydoyle (Derrik Smith, M Tabor, J Magnier)

JP McManus (bit out of left field, but would be no suprise)

Qatar Racing (those of the £2.5m Hydrogen purchase)

Godolphin (Well, if he wants, the ruler of Dubai NEVER loses, and has been looking for a new Dubai Millennium since 2000)

or the most likely of all....


Judmonte Farms (Khalid Abdula, both Frankel AND Dancing Brave's owner)



But with all this supposed potential comes SERIOUS risks.....


HYDROGEN

Purchased by new boys on the block, Qatar Racing, for a whopping £2,500,000, has sustained an injury, and Peter CH has gone on the record stating that the nag "won't be out 'til the back end of the season"

LIFFEY DANCER

A Tatterstalls 2,500,000 gns purchase, a record then for a yearling filly, she was sent to Luca Cumani's stables, in the Summer of 2007 she was a fanfare of a horse, but was, alas, retired before reaching the racecourse.

SNAAFI DANCER

Probably the most famous flop in racing history, in 1983,the hammer went down at Keenland at a WHOPPING $10,200,000...not ONLY was the nag SO backward that it never made it out of John Dunlops yard to a racecourse, but ALSO proved to be infertile at stud, the mind both boggles and faints.



ALL this being said, the lil' nag Frankel x Black Caviar could, of course be a world beater, but we have seen it TOO MANY times before with inflated prices paid for the offspring of Dubai Millennium and Sea The Stars (MASSIVELY overrated) in the past when they just turn out to be good, solid performers.  I SERIOUSLY think that the F x BC offspring with reach at LEAST £20,000,000 if not more, which is just CRAZY as there are no guarantees that a) it'll reach the racecourse b) it'll be any good, I was joking with the misses last night saying that it could be a 7 furlong wonder horse, not quick enough for 6f as Frankels side would blunt it's speed, and not enough stamina for 1m as Caviars stamina input wouldn't be sufficient.

I have this horror story all ready in my head, it makes it's debut over 6f, bolts up, wins a Listed/Group 3 race emphatically over the same trip, pulling away at the end, to apparently "dispel and stamina fears", then is put away for the winter as the 1/2 favourite for the 1000/2000 guineas....Guineas day comes, it goes off the  1/4 jolly as is subject of good work reports at home, we are ALL watching, remembering Frankels trailblazing performance in the 2011 2000 Guineas, and they're OFF....it leads, goes clear, just like it's Dad.....gets to the furlong pole...and WAIT...HOLD ON....it's PADDLING...it fades into midfield, it doesn't stay, this is the horrible truth and reality of horse racing, but just "far too taboo" to talk about.


I feel sorry, TRULY sorry for this poor lil' blighter already, it'll have the limelight on him/her SO much it'll have scorched hair....and i'm just waiting for the Pay Per View "live birth" option to pop up on the red button, NOTHING will EVER be good enough, we, as the racing community strive to get things beat, root for the underdogs and chastise the true greats,  always perpetually looking for the faintest crack of pessimism in any great situation, it's human, it's what we do......but wouldn't it be just swell, if for ONCE, this lil' lad is purchased and kept away from the media, this horse is the product of not one but TWO fairy tales, I just hope and pray the fairytale continues......



Be Lucky!!!



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