Sunday 24 March 2013

Noverre to Go...Noverre to hide.....

So, Wincanton beat the cold snap to at least give us a modicum of jumps action to break up the relentless sand racing for all you car-azeeee kats rated 50 or lower, (to put that into perspective, if one of these nags lined up againt a certain Frankel, over a mile, they would get K.O'd to the tune of NINETY LENGTHS, or in distance terms, around a FULL FURLONG!!!) so it armed with this knowledge I tippy-toed ever so quietly into the days action.


As I mention yesterday, the NAILED ON GOOD THING was SURLY "Noverre To Go" in the opener, it did, as predicted get backed from a quite frankly LUDICROUS  morning price of 10//11 into 4/9, eventually settling on an s.p of 4/6.........All was going to plan, sitting on the heels of it's vastly inferior rivals, when, a furlong out, Luke Morris kicked him in the belly, and off he trotted, which was a shame 'cos the others were well and truly galloping!!!  At the line the 4 runners were separated by less than a single length, but crucially, my boy was first past the lollipop, scrambled home at 4/6, not really Mysic Meg tipping i'm sure you'll agree, but he a) was AMAZING value, and b) HE WON!!!...so save your moans for someone who doesn't understand the point of value (my opening blog, give it a read, it's a BELTER!!!)

the rest of the card was littered with HEAVILY gambled on favs, that all, without exception got turned over, my personal highlight from a "thank the lord I didn't back that imcompetent jockey" point of view was "Teth" in the last, backed from 9/4 into EVENS, he was most punters idea of the winner of the getting-out-stakes, but he was anchored SO FAR back, one could ONLY assume the pilot, a certain William Carson (have a chat to your daddy about hold-up tactics sonny, Derby track record, 1994, nuff said) mistakenly thought he was on a Superbike/Rocket/Frankel, unfortuneatly for all of the jolly backers, he sat around 5 lengths, growing to 10 lengths (no, really he did, in a MILE race) off the pacesetting Beauchamp Xerxes under the wonderfully talented Nicole Nordblad, and got given a jockey-ship lesson he should NEVER forget, as he was feeling smug at the rear, Nicole was gradually winding it up from the from going bit by bit, little by little further and further clear, so when it can the the turn into the home straight, and the alarm bells starting ringing, Ms Nordblad was home, hosed, showered, fed, watered, done the shopping, and was watching the race replay on ATR!!!! 

This may at first appear overly harsh, but jockey's need to know form, the simple facet is, Beauchamp Xerxes was NO rag, he was 6/1 third fav, a third fav, once rated 103, now racing 48 POUNDS LOWER than his pomp, I fully understand letting 100/1 no-hopers scorch the sand, as they all, inevitably, come back to the field and have there 6-7f in the limelight, but this was one of the only three horses that could win the race, and to effectively give it a 10-15 length start when you are rated only 1lb apart, seems just INSANE, and you never, EVER was the comment "nearest finish" in the post race analysis when you've been purposely tailing the field in such a deliberate, pre meditated manner!!!!

For the record, I backed Total Obsession (4/1) who was also held up, not quite as dramatically, but still almost finished runner-up (not withstanding the hampering her suffered 2 out when making his move) as his Jock, the quite EXCELLENT Joey Haynes (7) was alert the fact just WHO was setting the fractions, and kept that little bit of a closer eye on, but for Beauchamp Xerxes, the game is up, he will NEVER get that sort of rope again, and I would back either Teth or Total Obsession to beat him next time, especially, due to the flawed was we rate lower grade horses he will more than likely have to shoulder a 7lb penalty.

Totla Obsession is entered in the 5:20pm at Lingfield on Tuesday over 1m 2f, which should be RIGHT up his street after multiple runs at the venue at a mile (finds trouble, gets done for pace before staying on) and 12 furlongs (there 2 out, there tails off), and if Jory Haynes (7) keeps the ride, it could be a case of Oi!!! Oi!!! Oiiiiiiii!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



Be Lucky!!!



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